OK, I need some ideas from those of you with years of experience.
Here's the scenario:
Moved my 15-year-old mare to a new boarding barn in May. She's out with 7 other horses on about 16 acres of pasture all day. There is a lot more good grass at this barn than at our old one. So she's put on some weight/muscle over the summer and I've cut back on her grain considerably since she's been maintaining nicely on pasture.
At the old barn, she was given 2 flakes of hay morning and night during the cold winter months. She lost weight and got a little thin over the winter...she was not getting enough forage.
At the new barn, they feed round bales in the colder months so the horses can eat it free choice. We put the first round bale out about 3 weeks ago. Within 2 weeks time, my mare's belly has gotten bigger...noticeably bigger. She's built kind of short and stocky to begin with, but her belly is wider and rounder. According to a weight tape (which aren't overly accurate, I know), it's around 80-100lbs difference.

It's only in her belly though...she doesn't have a cresty neck or fatty areas on other parts of her, that I can see. She's also been somewhat lethargic since the round bale's been put out...our farrier noticed it too.
Now things to consider...she's low horse on the totem pole and doesn't get at the round bale except when the others "allow" her to. So she tends to gorge on it. She's on a daily dewormer and also gets regular paste deworming so I doubt that it's worms. She has not been exposed to a stud, that I know of. But the way that things were left at the old barn, I wouldn't be surprised if I found out that the stallion down the road paid her a visit.
My question is: what else could cause an increase in size of a horse's belly in a short amount of time? it coincided with the round bale being put out but I don't want to rule out other things by accident. We're having a barn meeting on Sunday to discuss limiting my horses' access to the bale. I'm also planning on calling my vet next week (after the barn meeting) to have her teeth floated and discuss the weight gain.
Anyone have any ideas?
I'm going to run out at lunch time and snap some new pictures of her and find some ones from back over the summer to compare to. Those should be up by mid-afternoon.